Recent forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models points to a daytime maximum of 33–34°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderating southwesterly sea breezes typical of peak Mediterranean summer. These conditions, aligned with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations around 32–33°C, underpin the market's strong tilt toward 33°C at 65% implied probability. Updated model runs show limited heatwave amplification but confirm potential for 34°C, while sea-breeze effects and lack of extreme signals keep higher outcomes below 5% combined. Final observations will resolve near the 33–34°C threshold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
33°C 65%
34°C 18%
32°C 14%
31°C 5%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
65%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
34°C 18%
32°C 14%
31°C 5%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
65%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models points to a daytime maximum of 33–34°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderating southwesterly sea breezes typical of peak Mediterranean summer. These conditions, aligned with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations around 32–33°C, underpin the market's strong tilt toward 33°C at 65% implied probability. Updated model runs show limited heatwave amplification but confirm potential for 34°C, while sea-breeze effects and lack of extreme signals keep higher outcomes below 5% combined. Final observations will resolve near the 33–34°C threshold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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