Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 18, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data showing midday peaks at this level under mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. Hourly readings from central Tokyo stations, including the official observatory, confirm no exceedance, aligning with historical April averages of 19–20°C and current atmospheric patterns favoring stable mildness over warming. Final resolution hinges on JMA's end-of-day summary, typically released shortly after midnight. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from clearing skies or a minor data revision from peripheral sensors, though cooling evening trends make higher outcomes unlikely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 18?
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$107,616 Vol.
$107,616 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$107,616 Vol.
$107,616 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
13°C or below
$2,664 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,437 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,580 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,779 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,640 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,039 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,464 Vol.
No
20°C
$14,266 Vol.
No
21°C
$32,225 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$17,066 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$19,457 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 18, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data showing midday peaks at this level under mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. Hourly readings from central Tokyo stations, including the official observatory, confirm no exceedance, aligning with historical April averages of 19–20°C and current atmospheric patterns favoring stable mildness over warming. Final resolution hinges on JMA's end-of-day summary, typically released shortly after midnight. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from clearing skies or a minor data revision from peripheral sensors, though cooling evening trends make higher outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
ভলিউম
$107,616শেষ তারিখ
Apr 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 18, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data showing midday peaks at this level under mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. Hourly readings from central Tokyo stations, including the official observatory, confirm no exceedance, aligning with historical April averages of 19–20°C and current atmospheric patterns favoring stable mildness over warming. Final resolution hinges on JMA's end-of-day summary, typically released shortly after midnight. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from clearing skies or a minor data revision from peripheral sensors, though cooling evening trends make higher outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$107,616শেষ তারিখ
Apr 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 18, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data showing midday peaks at this level under mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. Hourly readings from central Tokyo stations, including the official observatory, confirm no exceedance, aligning with historical April averages of 19–20°C and current atmospheric patterns favoring stable mildness over warming. Final resolution hinges on JMA's end-of-day summary, typically released shortly after midnight. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from clearing skies or a minor data revision from peripheral sensors, though cooling evening trends make higher outcomes unlikely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা