Strong northwesterly winds associated with an intensifying El Niño pattern are driving mild air advection toward Wellington, supporting daytime highs near 14–16 °C on 4 September according to the latest model consensus from MetService, NIWA, and international guidance. Persistent cloud cover and an 80 % probability of showers are expected to limit solar heating and cap the maximum, while historical September climatology places the typical daily high around 13–14 °C. Recent strengthening of the El Niño signal has increased temperature variability across New Zealand, prompting traders to assign the highest implied probabilities to 17–18 °C outcomes despite current forecasts clustering lower; any northward shift in the steering flow or delayed frontal passage could allow brief warmer spells that would favor those bins. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts for further market movement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
18°C 44%
17°C 41%
19°C 10%
16°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
33%
18°C
44%
19°C
10%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 44%
17°C 41%
19°C 10%
16°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
13°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$59 Vol.
1%
15°C
$223 Vol.
3%
16°C
$73 Vol.
7%
17°C
$136 Vol.
33%
18°C
$424 Vol.
44%
19°C
$349 Vol.
10%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$299 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northwesterly winds associated with an intensifying El Niño pattern are driving mild air advection toward Wellington, supporting daytime highs near 14–16 °C on 4 September according to the latest model consensus from MetService, NIWA, and international guidance. Persistent cloud cover and an 80 % probability of showers are expected to limit solar heating and cap the maximum, while historical September climatology places the typical daily high around 13–14 °C. Recent strengthening of the El Niño signal has increased temperature variability across New Zealand, prompting traders to assign the highest implied probabilities to 17–18 °C outcomes despite current forecasts clustering lower; any northward shift in the steering flow or delayed frontal passage could allow brief warmer spells that would favor those bins. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts for further market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,909শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northwesterly winds associated with an intensifying El Niño pattern are driving mild air advection toward Wellington, supporting daytime highs near 14–16 °C on 4 September according to the latest model consensus from MetService, NIWA, and international guidance. Persistent cloud cover and an 80 % probability of showers are expected to limit solar heating and cap the maximum, while historical September climatology places the typical daily high around 13–14 °C. Recent strengthening of the El Niño signal has increased temperature variability across New Zealand, prompting traders to assign the highest implied probabilities to 17–18 °C outcomes despite current forecasts clustering lower; any northward shift in the steering flow or delayed frontal passage could allow brief warmer spells that would favor those bins. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts for further market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,909শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Strong northwesterly winds associated with an intensifying El Niño pattern are driving mild air advection toward Wellington, supporting daytime highs near 14–16 °C on 4 September according to the latest model consensus from MetService, NIWA, and international guidance. Persistent cloud cover and an 80 % probability of showers are expected to limit solar heating and cap the maximum, while historical September climatology places the typical daily high around 13–14 °C. Recent strengthening of the El Niño signal has increased temperature variability across New Zealand, prompting traders to assign the highest implied probabilities to 17–18 °C outcomes despite current forecasts clustering lower; any northward shift in the steering flow or delayed frontal passage could allow brief warmer spells that would favor those bins. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts for further market movement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা