**Clear skies and moderate northwesterly winds are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest in Wellington, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 11–13 °C for the September 4 minimum.** Official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and international models project a low near 11 °C under mostly clear conditions, with dew points in the 7–9 °C range and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h limiting further drops. Wellington’s coastal, exposed location amplifies wind-driven mixing, which historically raises minimum temperatures several degrees above inland analogs. Subtle variations in exact wind speed, residual cloud cover, or measurement site (airport versus urban stations) explain the tight spread between 10 °C and 13 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the balance between these factors ahead of final overnight observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
12°C 47%
10°C 45%
11°C 43%
13°C 43%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
26%
10°C
45%
11°C
43%
12°C
47%
13°C
43%
14°C
28%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 47%
10°C 45%
11°C 43%
13°C 43%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
7°C or below
$191 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
45%
11°C
$0 Vol.
43%
12°C
$0 Vol.
47%
13°C
$3 Vol.
43%
14°C
$3 Vol.
28%
15°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,085 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$796 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and moderate northwesterly winds are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest in Wellington, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 11–13 °C for the September 4 minimum.** Official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and international models project a low near 11 °C under mostly clear conditions, with dew points in the 7–9 °C range and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h limiting further drops. Wellington’s coastal, exposed location amplifies wind-driven mixing, which historically raises minimum temperatures several degrees above inland analogs. Subtle variations in exact wind speed, residual cloud cover, or measurement site (airport versus urban stations) explain the tight spread between 10 °C and 13 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the balance between these factors ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,448শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and moderate northwesterly winds are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest in Wellington, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 11–13 °C for the September 4 minimum.** Official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and international models project a low near 11 °C under mostly clear conditions, with dew points in the 7–9 °C range and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h limiting further drops. Wellington’s coastal, exposed location amplifies wind-driven mixing, which historically raises minimum temperatures several degrees above inland analogs. Subtle variations in exact wind speed, residual cloud cover, or measurement site (airport versus urban stations) explain the tight spread between 10 °C and 13 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the balance between these factors ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$2,448শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and moderate northwesterly winds are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest in Wellington, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 11–13 °C for the September 4 minimum.** Official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and international models project a low near 11 °C under mostly clear conditions, with dew points in the 7–9 °C range and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h limiting further drops. Wellington’s coastal, exposed location amplifies wind-driven mixing, which historically raises minimum temperatures several degrees above inland analogs. Subtle variations in exact wind speed, residual cloud cover, or measurement site (airport versus urban stations) explain the tight spread between 10 °C and 13 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the balance between these factors ahead of final overnight observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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