Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the party nomination in Idaho’s May 19, 2026, primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, facing minimal opposition in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters and carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+22. The Panhandle and western Boise area has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent presidential and congressional contests, limiting Democratic recruitment and fundraising. General-election nominee Kaylee Peterson heads a ticket in a low-turnout environment where structural advantages favor the incumbent’s reelection on November 3. Trader consensus at 95 percent Republican reflects these entrenched factors, though an unforeseen national political shift or late-cycle development could theoretically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডID-01 House Election Winner
$34,550 Vol.
$34,550 Vol.
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
2%
$34,550 Vol.
$34,550 Vol.
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the party nomination in Idaho’s May 19, 2026, primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, facing minimal opposition in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters and carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+22. The Panhandle and western Boise area has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent presidential and congressional contests, limiting Democratic recruitment and fundraising. General-election nominee Kaylee Peterson heads a ticket in a low-turnout environment where structural advantages favor the incumbent’s reelection on November 3. Trader consensus at 95 percent Republican reflects these entrenched factors, though an unforeseen national political shift or late-cycle development could theoretically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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