Current numerical weather models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate overnight lows of 15–16°C in Ankara on September 4 under clear skies and light northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, driving the near-even 50% market-implied odds for those exact minima. Radiative cooling will be efficient given dew points near 5–10°C and minimal cloud cover, with the daily minimum typically occurring around 06:00 local time; slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat effects around Esenboğa Airport versus the city center explain the tight spread versus lower-probability outcomes like 14°C or below. Historical September climatology (average lows near 14–15°C) provides context but is secondary to the fresh forecast guidance, with the next model cycle offering the primary near-term update for traders.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Ankara on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 4?
12°C 96%
13°C 96%
14°C 96%
17°C 87%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
11°C or below
69%
12°C
96%
13°C
96%
14°C
96%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
87%
18°C
2%
19°C
14%
20°C
13%
21°C or higher
58%
12°C 96%
13°C 96%
14°C 96%
17°C 87%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
12°C
$0 Vol.
96%
13°C
$0 Vol.
96%
14°C
$0 Vol.
96%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$0 Vol.
50%
17°C
$0 Vol.
87%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C
$0 Vol.
13%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate overnight lows of 15–16°C in Ankara on September 4 under clear skies and light northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, driving the near-even 50% market-implied odds for those exact minima. Radiative cooling will be efficient given dew points near 5–10°C and minimal cloud cover, with the daily minimum typically occurring around 06:00 local time; slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat effects around Esenboğa Airport versus the city center explain the tight spread versus lower-probability outcomes like 14°C or below. Historical September climatology (average lows near 14–15°C) provides context but is secondary to the fresh forecast guidance, with the next model cycle offering the primary near-term update for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate overnight lows of 15–16°C in Ankara on September 4 under clear skies and light northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, driving the near-even 50% market-implied odds for those exact minima. Radiative cooling will be efficient given dew points near 5–10°C and minimal cloud cover, with the daily minimum typically occurring around 06:00 local time; slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat effects around Esenboğa Airport versus the city center explain the tight spread versus lower-probability outcomes like 14°C or below. Historical September climatology (average lows near 14–15°C) provides context but is secondary to the fresh forecast guidance, with the next model cycle offering the primary near-term update for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate overnight lows of 15–16°C in Ankara on September 4 under clear skies and light northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, driving the near-even 50% market-implied odds for those exact minima. Radiative cooling will be efficient given dew points near 5–10°C and minimal cloud cover, with the daily minimum typically occurring around 06:00 local time; slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat effects around Esenboğa Airport versus the city center explain the tight spread versus lower-probability outcomes like 14°C or below. Historical September climatology (average lows near 14–15°C) provides context but is secondary to the fresh forecast guidance, with the next model cycle offering the primary near-term update for traders.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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