Forecast models and real-time observations for Chengdu on September 18, 2026, show overnight lows clustering between 19–21°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–95%, and light showers that limit radiative cooling. The Sichuan basin's topography and urban heat effects further moderate temperature drops, while light northeast winds provide little mixing. Historical September minima average around 19°C, but model consensus remains tight without strong cold-air advection. This genuine uncertainty across ensemble runs and local station data explains the near-even implied probabilities for 18–21°C outcomes, with higher or much lower thresholds discounted by current conditions. Updated NHC-style guidance or final 24-hour station readings could still shift resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 18?
18°C 99%
15°C or below 90%
16°C 90%
17°C 90%
15°C or below
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
99%
19°C
46%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99%
15°C or below 90%
16°C 90%
17°C 90%
15°C or below
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
99%
19°C
46%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and real-time observations for Chengdu on September 18, 2026, show overnight lows clustering between 19–21°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–95%, and light showers that limit radiative cooling. The Sichuan basin's topography and urban heat effects further moderate temperature drops, while light northeast winds provide little mixing. Historical September minima average around 19°C, but model consensus remains tight without strong cold-air advection. This genuine uncertainty across ensemble runs and local station data explains the near-even implied probabilities for 18–21°C outcomes, with higher or much lower thresholds discounted by current conditions. Updated NHC-style guidance or final 24-hour station readings could still shift resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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