**Trader sentiment strongly favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher (92% implied probability) for Jinan on August 21, 2026.** Multiple official and commercial forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and Yr.no converge on an overnight low of 24–28°C, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and highs near 32–34°C. This aligns with the month-to-date pattern of above-average warmth, where recent daily minima have ranged from 22–25°C amid typical late-summer humidity and light variable winds. The positioning reflects real-time model consensus and current surface observations showing no incoming cold air mass or significant cooling mechanism. Historical August climatology for Jinan (average low ~22°C) further supports elevated minima under persistent warm, moist conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp frontal passage or station-specific measurement anomaly, but current dynamical guidance shows low uncertainty for this timeframe.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Jinan on August 21?
22°C or higher 99%
20°C 3%
15°C 2%
17°C 2%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
99%
22°C or higher 99%
20°C 3%
15°C 2%
17°C 2%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment strongly favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher (92% implied probability) for Jinan on August 21, 2026.** Multiple official and commercial forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and Yr.no converge on an overnight low of 24–28°C, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and highs near 32–34°C. This aligns with the month-to-date pattern of above-average warmth, where recent daily minima have ranged from 22–25°C amid typical late-summer humidity and light variable winds. The positioning reflects real-time model consensus and current surface observations showing no incoming cold air mass or significant cooling mechanism. Historical August climatology for Jinan (average low ~22°C) further supports elevated minima under persistent warm, moist conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp frontal passage or station-specific measurement anomaly, but current dynamical guidance shows low uncertainty for this timeframe.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা