Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance, under persistent high pressure with clear skies, points to overnight radiative cooling yielding a London minimum near 18–19°C on August 17, well above the historical mid-August average of 13–15°C. Daytime maxima remaining in the mid-to-upper 20s have limited the diurnal range, while stable anticyclonic conditions suppress stronger advection of cooler air. Trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 19°C and 23.5% for 18°C aligns with this model agreement, though slight spreads in guidance allow for modest downside risk to 17°C if cloud increases. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in London on August 17?
Lowest temperature in London on August 17?
19°C 42%
18°C 22%
20°C 14%
17°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
13%
18°C
22%
19°C
42%
20°C
14%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 42%
18°C 22%
20°C 14%
17°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 17, 2026
13°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15 Vol.
1%
15°C
$26 Vol.
2%
16°C
$40 Vol.
5%
17°C
$92 Vol.
13%
18°C
$377 Vol.
22%
19°C
$681 Vol.
42%
20°C
$973 Vol.
14%
21°C
$55 Vol.
3%
22°C
$30 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance, under persistent high pressure with clear skies, points to overnight radiative cooling yielding a London minimum near 18–19°C on August 17, well above the historical mid-August average of 13–15°C. Daytime maxima remaining in the mid-to-upper 20s have limited the diurnal range, while stable anticyclonic conditions suppress stronger advection of cooler air. Trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 19°C and 23.5% for 18°C aligns with this model agreement, though slight spreads in guidance allow for modest downside risk to 17°C if cloud increases. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,359শেষ তারিখ
Aug 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance, under persistent high pressure with clear skies, points to overnight radiative cooling yielding a London minimum near 18–19°C on August 17, well above the historical mid-August average of 13–15°C. Daytime maxima remaining in the mid-to-upper 20s have limited the diurnal range, while stable anticyclonic conditions suppress stronger advection of cooler air. Trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 19°C and 23.5% for 18°C aligns with this model agreement, though slight spreads in guidance allow for modest downside risk to 17°C if cloud increases. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$2,359শেষ তারিখ
Aug 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance, under persistent high pressure with clear skies, points to overnight radiative cooling yielding a London minimum near 18–19°C on August 17, well above the historical mid-August average of 13–15°C. Daytime maxima remaining in the mid-to-upper 20s have limited the diurnal range, while stable anticyclonic conditions suppress stronger advection of cooler air. Trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 19°C and 23.5% for 18°C aligns with this model agreement, though slight spreads in guidance allow for modest downside risk to 17°C if cloud increases. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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