Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Tropical Storm Pilandok, drives cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall across Metro Manila through September 6, limiting both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Official forecasts from PAGASA-aligned models and global ensembles show overnight minimums clustered near 25–26 °C under high humidity (85–95 %) and southwesterly flow, consistent with September climatology for the region. The balanced market-implied probabilities across 21 °C or below, 26 °C, and 31 °C or higher reflect remaining uncertainty in exact low-level moisture, rainfall timing, and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Manila on September 6?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
21°C or below
69%
22°C
43%
23°C
49%
24°C
27%
25°C
32%
26°C
32%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
69%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
21°C or below
69%
22°C
43%
23°C
49%
24°C
27%
25°C
32%
26°C
32%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Tropical Storm Pilandok, drives cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall across Metro Manila through September 6, limiting both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Official forecasts from PAGASA-aligned models and global ensembles show overnight minimums clustered near 25–26 °C under high humidity (85–95 %) and southwesterly flow, consistent with September climatology for the region. The balanced market-implied probabilities across 21 °C or below, 26 °C, and 31 °C or higher reflect remaining uncertainty in exact low-level moisture, rainfall timing, and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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