Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low near 12°C in Moscow on August 21, 2026, with possible rain, westerly winds of 6–11 m/s, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Historical averages place the date's typical minimum at 12.2°C, while current model runs from sources like GFS and WeatherBug cluster overnight lows between 12–14°C amid partly cloudy conditions. Trader positioning, with 9°C or below leading at 42.5% implied probability amid clustered 30–35% odds for 10–15°C outcomes, reflects uncertainty in exact cooling rates under shifting pressure and precipitation patterns that could either enhance or suppress temperature drops before dawn. Upcoming hourly updates from monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria tied to the official minimum reading.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
9°C or below 85%
11°C 61%
10°C 58%
12°C 35%
9°C or below
85%
10°C
58%
11°C
61%
12°C
35%
13°C
35%
14°C
35%
15°C
34%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 85%
11°C 61%
10°C 58%
12°C 35%
9°C or below
85%
10°C
58%
11°C
61%
12°C
35%
13°C
35%
14°C
35%
15°C
34%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low near 12°C in Moscow on August 21, 2026, with possible rain, westerly winds of 6–11 m/s, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Historical averages place the date's typical minimum at 12.2°C, while current model runs from sources like GFS and WeatherBug cluster overnight lows between 12–14°C amid partly cloudy conditions. Trader positioning, with 9°C or below leading at 42.5% implied probability amid clustered 30–35% odds for 10–15°C outcomes, reflects uncertainty in exact cooling rates under shifting pressure and precipitation patterns that could either enhance or suppress temperature drops before dawn. Upcoming hourly updates from monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria tied to the official minimum reading.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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