**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Munich on August 27, 2026, reflecting high confidence in current numerical weather prediction models.** Forecast guidance from sources aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates the minimum will occur during the pre-dawn hours through radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and dew points supporting a drop to near 14°C after daytime highs reached the mid-20s to low-30s °C. This aligns with typical late-August boundary-layer cooling rates in southern Germany when high pressure dominates and nocturnal inversions form. Historical climatology shows an average low near 13°C for the date, providing additional context for the market-implied odds. Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected low-level moisture or increased cloud cover that reduces outgoing longwave radiation, warmer southeasterly advection, or model bias in urban heat-island effects around the observation site. Updated model runs or official DWD observations in the final hours of the period could shift probabilities if conditions deviate from the current consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Munich on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 27?
14°C 100.0%
13°C 1.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
$8,239 Vol.
$8,239 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
13°C 1.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
$8,239 Vol.
$8,239 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
10°C or below
$164 Vol.
No
11°C
$751 Vol.
No
12°C
$91 Vol.
No
13°C
$105 Vol.
No
14°C
$6,180 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$288 Vol.
No
16°C
$438 Vol.
No
17°C
$110 Vol.
No
18°C
$25 Vol.
No
19°C
$25 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$64 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Munich on August 27, 2026, reflecting high confidence in current numerical weather prediction models.**
Forecast guidance from sources aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates the minimum will occur during the pre-dawn hours through radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and dew points supporting a drop to near 14°C after daytime highs reached the mid-20s to low-30s °C. This aligns with typical late-August boundary-layer cooling rates in southern Germany when high pressure dominates and nocturnal inversions form. Historical climatology shows an average low near 13°C for the date, providing additional context for the market-implied odds.
Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected low-level moisture or increased cloud cover that reduces outgoing longwave radiation, warmer southeasterly advection, or model bias in urban heat-island effects around the observation site. Updated model runs or official DWD observations in the final hours of the period could shift probabilities if conditions deviate from the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$8,239শেষ তারিখ
Aug 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Munich on August 27, 2026, reflecting high confidence in current numerical weather prediction models.**
Forecast guidance from sources aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates the minimum will occur during the pre-dawn hours through radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and dew points supporting a drop to near 14°C after daytime highs reached the mid-20s to low-30s °C. This aligns with typical late-August boundary-layer cooling rates in southern Germany when high pressure dominates and nocturnal inversions form. Historical climatology shows an average low near 13°C for the date, providing additional context for the market-implied odds.
Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected low-level moisture or increased cloud cover that reduces outgoing longwave radiation, warmer southeasterly advection, or model bias in urban heat-island effects around the observation site. Updated model runs or official DWD observations in the final hours of the period could shift probabilities if conditions deviate from the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$8,239শেষ তারিখ
Aug 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Munich on August 27, 2026, reflecting high confidence in current numerical weather prediction models.** Forecast guidance from sources aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates the minimum will occur during the pre-dawn hours through radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and dew points supporting a drop to near 14°C after daytime highs reached the mid-20s to low-30s °C. This aligns with typical late-August boundary-layer cooling rates in southern Germany when high pressure dominates and nocturnal inversions form. Historical climatology shows an average low near 13°C for the date, providing additional context for the market-implied odds. Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected low-level moisture or increased cloud cover that reduces outgoing longwave radiation, warmer southeasterly advection, or model bias in urban heat-island effects around the observation site. Updated model runs or official DWD observations in the final hours of the period could shift probabilities if conditions deviate from the current consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা