Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C low in Paris on September 13, with 97.5% implied probability, because multiple forecast models show overnight temperatures bottoming near that level under clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. Official guidance and GFS-based projections indicate radiative cooling will produce a minimum around 16–18°C, consistent with current surface observations near 17°C early on the 13th. Historical September averages are lower, but the present warm air mass and high pressure suppress typical cooling. A realistic shift could occur if increased cloud cover or stronger winds reduce nocturnal heat loss, or if station-specific measurements deviate slightly from model grids, though such changes appear unlikely given stable conditions through the resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on September 13?
17°C 98%
15°C 3%
9°C or below 2%
10°C 2%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
98%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
17°C 98%
15°C 3%
9°C or below 2%
10°C 2%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
98%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C low in Paris on September 13, with 97.5% implied probability, because multiple forecast models show overnight temperatures bottoming near that level under clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. Official guidance and GFS-based projections indicate radiative cooling will produce a minimum around 16–18°C, consistent with current surface observations near 17°C early on the 13th. Historical September averages are lower, but the present warm air mass and high pressure suppress typical cooling. A realistic shift could occur if increased cloud cover or stronger winds reduce nocturnal heat loss, or if station-specific measurements deviate slightly from model grids, though such changes appear unlikely given stable conditions through the resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা