Forecast consensus from global and regional models supports the strong market-implied probability for a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 13, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, northeasterly flow, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 30°C with overnight lows settling around 23–24°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. Trader positioning aligns with this evidence-based outlook from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, where small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or minor cloud development could still shift the exact reading by 1°C but are unlikely to alter the dominant outcome given current model agreement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 13?
24°C 98%
23°C 3%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,260 Vol.
$14,260 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
98%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 98%
23°C 3%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,260 Vol.
$14,260 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
98%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from global and regional models supports the strong market-implied probability for a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 13, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, northeasterly flow, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 30°C with overnight lows settling around 23–24°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. Trader positioning aligns with this evidence-based outlook from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, where small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or minor cloud development could still shift the exact reading by 1°C but are unlikely to alter the dominant outcome given current model agreement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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