Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate overnight lows near 24–26°C on August 21 amid above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High, with cloudy conditions and possible showers expected to moderate radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums around 23–24°C, but 2026 seasonal outlooks and current model runs support elevated values due to persistent humidity and urban heat island effects. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 25°C and 26°C because small variations in cloud cover, wind, or precipitation timing can shift the exact minimum by 1°C, while lower or higher outcomes remain less probable given the limited forecast spread and lack of major synoptic disruptions. Updated model guidance and official observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 21?
26°C 42%
25°C 36%
27°C 13%
23°C 11%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
9%
25°C
36%
26°C
42%
27°C
13%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 42%
25°C 36%
27°C 13%
23°C 11%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
9%
25°C
36%
26°C
42%
27°C
13%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate overnight lows near 24–26°C on August 21 amid above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High, with cloudy conditions and possible showers expected to moderate radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums around 23–24°C, but 2026 seasonal outlooks and current model runs support elevated values due to persistent humidity and urban heat island effects. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 25°C and 26°C because small variations in cloud cover, wind, or precipitation timing can shift the exact minimum by 1°C, while lower or higher outcomes remain less probable given the limited forecast spread and lack of major synoptic disruptions. Updated model guidance and official observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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