Traders assign an implied 79.5% probability to “Yes” on Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 because no listed resolution triggers have materialized through early September. U.S. military actions in Venezuela and the earlier Iran conflict, including the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, ended without regime change, U.S. invasion, or wider escalation. No moves toward Chinese action on Taiwan, Russian strikes on NATO territory, leadership transitions for Trump or Xi Jinping, Republican Senate supermajority, extreme Bitcoin price swings, or qualifying natural disasters have occurred. The market’s pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term likelihood for these specific political, military, or geophysical events before year-end, while remaining open to late developments that could still shift outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডকখনও কিছু হয় না: 2026
কখনও কিছু হয় না: 2026
হ্যাঁ
80% সম্ভাবনা
$763,616 Vol.
$763,616 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
হ্যাঁ
80% সম্ভাবনা
$763,616 Vol.
$763,616 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdfTraders assign an implied 79.5% probability to “Yes” on Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 because no listed resolution triggers have materialized through early September. U.S. military actions in Venezuela and the earlier Iran conflict, including the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, ended without regime change, U.S. invasion, or wider escalation. No moves toward Chinese action on Taiwan, Russian strikes on NATO territory, leadership transitions for Trump or Xi Jinping, Republican Senate supermajority, extreme Bitcoin price swings, or qualifying natural disasters have occurred. The market’s pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term likelihood for these specific political, military, or geophysical events before year-end, while remaining open to late developments that could still shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
ভলিউম
$763,616শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdfTraders assign an implied 79.5% probability to “Yes” on Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 because no listed resolution triggers have materialized through early September. U.S. military actions in Venezuela and the earlier Iran conflict, including the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, ended without regime change, U.S. invasion, or wider escalation. No moves toward Chinese action on Taiwan, Russian strikes on NATO territory, leadership transitions for Trump or Xi Jinping, Republican Senate supermajority, extreme Bitcoin price swings, or qualifying natural disasters have occurred. The market’s pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term likelihood for these specific political, military, or geophysical events before year-end, while remaining open to late developments that could still shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf
ভলিউম
$763,616শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an implied 79.5% probability to “Yes” on Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 because no listed resolution triggers have materialized through early September. U.S. military actions in Venezuela and the earlier Iran conflict, including the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, ended without regime change, U.S. invasion, or wider escalation. No moves toward Chinese action on Taiwan, Russian strikes on NATO territory, leadership transitions for Trump or Xi Jinping, Republican Senate supermajority, extreme Bitcoin price swings, or qualifying natural disasters have occurred. The market’s pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term likelihood for these specific political, military, or geophysical events before year-end, while remaining open to late developments that could still shift outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা