Incumbent Rep. Stephanie Bice (R) dominates trader consensus at 87% implied probability for victory in Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+9 partisan lean, thanks to her unopposed June 16 Republican primary path, $1.9 million cash on hand as of late March, and consistent 52-61% general election margins since flipping the seat in 2020. Recent filing deadline on April 3 confirmed a weak Democratic primary matchup between underfunded Trey Martin and Jena Nelson ($5,700 combined cash), alongside negligible independents Robert Henri and Austin Nieves, echoing Bice's 2024 unopposed advancement and remote upset risk despite the 2018 Democratic flip. The November 3 general election awaits primary outcomes, with ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscoring low competitive threat.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOK-05 House Election Winner
OK-05 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,746 Vol.
87%
Democratic Party
$2,725 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Stephanie Bice (R) dominates trader consensus at 87% implied probability for victory in Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+9 partisan lean, thanks to her unopposed June 16 Republican primary path, $1.9 million cash on hand as of late March, and consistent 52-61% general election margins since flipping the seat in 2020. Recent filing deadline on April 3 confirmed a weak Democratic primary matchup between underfunded Trey Martin and Jena Nelson ($5,700 combined cash), alongside negligible independents Robert Henri and Austin Nieves, echoing Bice's 2024 unopposed advancement and remote upset risk despite the 2018 Democratic flip. The November 3 general election awaits primary outcomes, with ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscoring low competitive threat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$6,471শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Stephanie Bice (R) dominates trader consensus at 87% implied probability for victory in Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+9 partisan lean, thanks to her unopposed June 16 Republican primary path, $1.9 million cash on hand as of late March, and consistent 52-61% general election margins since flipping the seat in 2020. Recent filing deadline on April 3 confirmed a weak Democratic primary matchup between underfunded Trey Martin and Jena Nelson ($5,700 combined cash), alongside negligible independents Robert Henri and Austin Nieves, echoing Bice's 2024 unopposed advancement and remote upset risk despite the 2018 Democratic flip. The November 3 general election awaits primary outcomes, with ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscoring low competitive threat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$6,471শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Stephanie Bice (R) dominates trader consensus at 87% implied probability for victory in Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+9 partisan lean, thanks to her unopposed June 16 Republican primary path, $1.9 million cash on hand as of late March, and consistent 52-61% general election margins since flipping the seat in 2020. Recent filing deadline on April 3 confirmed a weak Democratic primary matchup between underfunded Trey Martin and Jena Nelson ($5,700 combined cash), alongside negligible independents Robert Henri and Austin Nieves, echoing Bice's 2024 unopposed advancement and remote upset risk despite the 2018 Democratic flip. The November 3 general election awaits primary outcomes, with ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscoring low competitive threat.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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