Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 75% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District House seat, driven by recent House Majority Forward polling from late March showing incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie's job approval at just 27% and net unfavorable favorability of minus-14 amid President Trump's low district ratings. This swing seat in the Lehigh Valley, rated Toss Up by Cook Political Report, features Mackenzie running unopposed in the May 19 closed primary, while Democrats face a crowded field including Lamont McClure, Bob Brooks, Ryan Crosswell, and Carol Obando-Derstine, with McClure leading early primary surveys. Strong Democratic fundraising and midterm headwinds for the president's party further position challengers to capitalize on voter dissatisfaction ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPA-07 House Election Winner
PA-07 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
75%
Republican Party
26%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,443 Vol.
75%
Republican Party
$132 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 75% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District House seat, driven by recent House Majority Forward polling from late March showing incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie's job approval at just 27% and net unfavorable favorability of minus-14 amid President Trump's low district ratings. This swing seat in the Lehigh Valley, rated Toss Up by Cook Political Report, features Mackenzie running unopposed in the May 19 closed primary, while Democrats face a crowded field including Lamont McClure, Bob Brooks, Ryan Crosswell, and Carol Obando-Derstine, with McClure leading early primary surveys. Strong Democratic fundraising and midterm headwinds for the president's party further position challengers to capitalize on voter dissatisfaction ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
ভলিউম
$3,576শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 75% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District House seat, driven by recent House Majority Forward polling from late March showing incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie's job approval at just 27% and net unfavorable favorability of minus-14 amid President Trump's low district ratings. This swing seat in the Lehigh Valley, rated Toss Up by Cook Political Report, features Mackenzie running unopposed in the May 19 closed primary, while Democrats face a crowded field including Lamont McClure, Bob Brooks, Ryan Crosswell, and Carol Obando-Derstine, with McClure leading early primary surveys. Strong Democratic fundraising and midterm headwinds for the president's party further position challengers to capitalize on voter dissatisfaction ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$3,576শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 75% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District House seat, driven by recent House Majority Forward polling from late March showing incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie's job approval at just 27% and net unfavorable favorability of minus-14 amid President Trump's low district ratings. This swing seat in the Lehigh Valley, rated Toss Up by Cook Political Report, features Mackenzie running unopposed in the May 19 closed primary, while Democrats face a crowded field including Lamont McClure, Bob Brooks, Ryan Crosswell, and Carol Obando-Derstine, with McClure leading early primary surveys. Strong Democratic fundraising and midterm headwinds for the president's party further position challengers to capitalize on voter dissatisfaction ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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