Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew being sentenced to prison, driven by the absence of formal charges following his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office. UK police questioned the Duke of York—now styled Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor—for 11 hours over alleged sharing of confidential trade documents with Jeffrey Epstein, revealed in recent US Justice Department files, before releasing him under investigation without indictment. Two months later, no trial date or prosecution has emerged, aligning with historical patterns where his Epstein ties led only to a 2022 civil settlement, title revocation, and public duties suspension rather than criminal conviction. While the offense carries a life maximum, typical sentences are shorter, and ongoing probes often fizzle absent strong evidence; late developments like charging decisions could shift odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$206,349 Vol.
$206,349 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$206,349 Vol.
$206,349 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew being sentenced to prison, driven by the absence of formal charges following his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office. UK police questioned the Duke of York—now styled Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor—for 11 hours over alleged sharing of confidential trade documents with Jeffrey Epstein, revealed in recent US Justice Department files, before releasing him under investigation without indictment. Two months later, no trial date or prosecution has emerged, aligning with historical patterns where his Epstein ties led only to a 2022 civil settlement, title revocation, and public duties suspension rather than criminal conviction. While the offense carries a life maximum, typical sentences are shorter, and ongoing probes often fizzle absent strong evidence; late developments like charging decisions could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
ভলিউম
$206,349শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew being sentenced to prison, driven by the absence of formal charges following his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office. UK police questioned the Duke of York—now styled Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor—for 11 hours over alleged sharing of confidential trade documents with Jeffrey Epstein, revealed in recent US Justice Department files, before releasing him under investigation without indictment. Two months later, no trial date or prosecution has emerged, aligning with historical patterns where his Epstein ties led only to a 2022 civil settlement, title revocation, and public duties suspension rather than criminal conviction. While the offense carries a life maximum, typical sentences are shorter, and ongoing probes often fizzle absent strong evidence; late developments like charging decisions could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$206,349শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew being sentenced to prison, driven by the absence of formal charges following his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office. UK police questioned the Duke of York—now styled Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor—for 11 hours over alleged sharing of confidential trade documents with Jeffrey Epstein, revealed in recent US Justice Department files, before releasing him under investigation without indictment. Two months later, no trial date or prosecution has emerged, aligning with historical patterns where his Epstein ties led only to a 2022 civil settlement, title revocation, and public duties suspension rather than criminal conviction. While the offense carries a life maximum, typical sentences are shorter, and ongoing probes often fizzle absent strong evidence; late developments like charging decisions could shift odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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