Official records, including the New York City medical examiner's autopsy and multiple Department of Justice reviews, established Jeffrey Epstein's death by suicide in August 2019 while in federal custody. Subsequent FBI analyses and file releases through 2026 have reaffirmed these findings with no credible evidence of survival. Recent viral claims, such as AI-generated images suggesting sightings in Israel or online activity, have been promptly debunked by fact-checkers and authorities. Traders assign a 96.5% probability to "No" because decades of institutional documentation and the absence of verifiable developments outweigh persistent unconfirmed speculation. A shift would require extraordinary new proof, such as authenticated biometric confirmation or an official institutional reversal.