Bipartisan Senate opposition and institutional signals have reinforced trader expectations against a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026. In July 2026, the Senate unanimously approved a non-binding resolution urging no clemency for the convicted sex trafficker tied to Jeffrey Epstein, reflecting broad congressional resistance. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche stated in May that the Justice Department would not recommend a pardon, while Maxwell’s appeals have been exhausted, leaving executive clemency as her primary remaining option. Trump has described the matter as one he has “not thought about” and declined to rule it in or out, citing plans to consult the DOJ amid ongoing Epstein files scrutiny. These factors, combined with survivor advocacy and reputational costs, underpin the 93.5% implied probability that no pardon will occur.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
7% সম্ভাবনা
$756,992 Vol.
$756,992 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
৪% আয় করুন
হ্যাঁ
7% সম্ভাবনা
$756,992 Vol.
$756,992 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
৪% আয় করুন
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan Senate opposition and institutional signals have reinforced trader expectations against a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026. In July 2026, the Senate unanimously approved a non-binding resolution urging no clemency for the convicted sex trafficker tied to Jeffrey Epstein, reflecting broad congressional resistance. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche stated in May that the Justice Department would not recommend a pardon, while Maxwell’s appeals have been exhausted, leaving executive clemency as her primary remaining option. Trump has described the matter as one he has “not thought about” and declined to rule it in or out, citing plans to consult the DOJ amid ongoing Epstein files scrutiny. These factors, combined with survivor advocacy and reputational costs, underpin the 93.5% implied probability that no pardon will occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
ভলিউম
$756,992শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETরেজলভার
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan Senate opposition and institutional signals have reinforced trader expectations against a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026. In July 2026, the Senate unanimously approved a non-binding resolution urging no clemency for the convicted sex trafficker tied to Jeffrey Epstein, reflecting broad congressional resistance. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche stated in May that the Justice Department would not recommend a pardon, while Maxwell’s appeals have been exhausted, leaving executive clemency as her primary remaining option. Trump has described the matter as one he has “not thought about” and declined to rule it in or out, citing plans to consult the DOJ amid ongoing Epstein files scrutiny. These factors, combined with survivor advocacy and reputational costs, underpin the 93.5% implied probability that no pardon will occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$756,992শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETরেজলভার
0x157Ce2d67...Bipartisan Senate opposition and institutional signals have reinforced trader expectations against a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026. In July 2026, the Senate unanimously approved a non-binding resolution urging no clemency for the convicted sex trafficker tied to Jeffrey Epstein, reflecting broad congressional resistance. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche stated in May that the Justice Department would not recommend a pardon, while Maxwell’s appeals have been exhausted, leaving executive clemency as her primary remaining option. Trump has described the matter as one he has “not thought about” and declined to rule it in or out, citing plans to consult the DOJ amid ongoing Epstein files scrutiny. These factors, combined with survivor advocacy and reputational costs, underpin the 93.5% implied probability that no pardon will occur.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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