**WI-03 features Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden seeking re-election in a competitive district rated R+3 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index.** The seat flipped to Republicans in 2022 and Van Orden won narrowly in 2024 with 51.4% of the vote. Democrats view the open primary on August 11, 2026, as a strong opportunity, with Rebecca Cooke emerging as the frontrunner after outraising Van Orden in multiple cycles and posting a 50-46 lead in her campaign's June internal poll. Cooke's favorable ratings and strong cash position contrast with Van Orden's double-digit underwater favorability, particularly among independents. Race raters classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Republican, reflecting its potential to influence House control. Traders' consensus favoring the Democratic nominee reflects Cooke's momentum, fundraising edge, and the district's recent competitiveness ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWI-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
65%
Republican Party
34%
Democratic Party
65%
Republican Party
34%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**WI-03 features Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden seeking re-election in a competitive district rated R+3 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index.** The seat flipped to Republicans in 2022 and Van Orden won narrowly in 2024 with 51.4% of the vote. Democrats view the open primary on August 11, 2026, as a strong opportunity, with Rebecca Cooke emerging as the frontrunner after outraising Van Orden in multiple cycles and posting a 50-46 lead in her campaign's June internal poll. Cooke's favorable ratings and strong cash position contrast with Van Orden's double-digit underwater favorability, particularly among independents. Race raters classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Republican, reflecting its potential to influence House control. Traders' consensus favoring the Democratic nominee reflects Cooke's momentum, fundraising edge, and the district's recent competitiveness ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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