Traders assign a 97.5% implied probability against Donald Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting the rarity of presidential resignations and the absence of any public signals or institutional pressures indicating such a step during his current term. As the sitting president following the 2024 election, Trump maintains firm control over his party and administration, with no reported health crises, major scandals, or congressional moves that have historically prompted early exits. The wisdom of crowds in prediction markets incorporates these base rates and recent stability in White House operations. Still, low-probability shifts could arise from sudden medical developments, unforeseen legal rulings with direct bearing on eligibility, or dramatic changes in congressional dynamics that alter political incentives before the 2027 threshold.