Presidential resignation before the end of a term remains exceptionally rare in U.S. history, with only one precedent, and current market pricing reflects broad trader consensus that no such event will occur for this administration before 2027. Trump has repeatedly signaled commitment to serving through the conclusion of his second term in 2029, with senior officials such as Attorney General Pam Bondi publicly stating an expectation that he will depart only after completing that period. Midterm election outcomes, health speculation, or partisan commentary have generated occasional discussion but lack supporting primary evidence of imminent departure. Structural factors, including the absence of bipartisan congressional momentum for removal proceedings and standard constitutional succession processes, further reinforce low implied probabilities. Late-breaking developments such as acute medical incapacity, unprecedented legal resolutions, or sudden shifts in cabinet or party dynamics could still alter trajectories, though these remain outside established patterns.