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icon for Senatswahl Alagoas: 1. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl Alagoas: 1. Platz

icon for Senatswahl Alagoas: 1. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl Alagoas: 1. Platz

Dr. Wanderley 42%

Marina JHC 42%

Renan 42%

Alexandre Fleming 42%

Polymarket
NEU

Dr. Wanderley 42%

Marina JHC 42%

Renan 42%

Alexandre Fleming 42%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Dr. Wanderley

Dr. Wanderley

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Marina JHC

Marina JHC

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Renan

Renan

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Alexandre Fleming

Alexandre Fleming

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Mariedson

Mariedson

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Arthur Lira

Arthur Lira

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Davi Davino Filho

Davi Davino Filho

$0 Vol.

39%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling and candidate formalizations keep the Alagoas Senate race for the two seats highly competitive, with no single contender establishing a clear lead. Arthur Lira's August 2026 convention launch by the PP-União Brasil federation, alongside ongoing alliance discussions involving figures like Marina JHC, Renan Calheiros, Davi Davino Filho, and Dr. Wanderley, highlights shifting coalitions and party strategies. July surveys from institutes such as Paraná Pesquisas showed technical ties or narrow margins among leading names in both spontaneous and stimulated scenarios, reflecting balanced voter preferences across MDB, PP, Republicanos, and other parties. Trader consensus in the market captures this uncertainty ahead of further conventions, potential withdrawals, and additional surveys that could alter momentum before the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling and candidate formalizations keep the Alagoas Senate race for the two seats highly competitive, with no single contender establishing a clear lead. Arthur Lira's August 2026 convention launch by the PP-União Brasil federation, alongside ongoing alliance discussions involving figures like Marina JHC, Renan Calheiros, Davi Davino Filho, and Dr. Wanderley, highlights shifting coalitions and party strategies. July surveys from institutes such as Paraná Pesquisas showed technical ties or narrow margins among leading names in both spontaneous and stimulated scenarios, reflecting balanced voter preferences across MDB, PP, Republicanos, and other parties. Trader consensus in the market captures this uncertainty ahead of further conventions, potential withdrawals, and additional surveys that could alter momentum before the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Renan die zweitmeisten Stimmen bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Alagoas erhalten?

Wird Renan die zweitmeisten Stimmen bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Alagoas erhalten?

45%
Ja
icon for Will Nabor win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

Will Nabor win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

52%
icon for Wird Michelle Bolsonaro bei der Senatswahl 2026 im Bundesdistrikt die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Michelle Bolsonaro bei der Senatswahl 2026 im Bundesdistrikt die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

45%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl Alagoas: 1. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Dr. Wanderley" mit 42%, gefolgt von „Marina JHC" mit 42%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 42¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 42% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl Alagoas: 1. Platz" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl Alagoas: 1. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl Alagoas: 1. Platz" ist „Dr. Wanderley" mit 42%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 42% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Marina JHC" mit 42%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl Alagoas: 1. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.