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icon for Apple kündigt faltbares iPhone beim "Surprise and Shine" -Event an?
Technik·Apfel

Apple kündigt faltbares iPhone beim "Surprise and Shine" -Event an?

icon for Apple kündigt faltbares iPhone beim "Surprise and Shine" -Event an?
Technik·Apfel

Apple kündigt faltbares iPhone beim "Surprise and Shine" -Event an?

Ja

94% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

94% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official August 26 announcement of the “Surprise and Shine” event on September 9 has anchored trader sentiment, with consistent reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain sources indicating the company will unveil its first book-style foldable iPhone—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra—alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. The device is described with a roughly 5.5-inch outer display opening to about 7.8 inches, titanium construction, near crease-free OLED, Touch ID in the power button, and pricing above $2,000. This marks the first major launch under incoming CEO John Ternus and represents Apple’s first new iPhone form factor in years. While manufacturing yields and final availability remain variables, the volume of aligned credible leaks and the event’s proximity support the current 74.5% implied probability for an announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.

Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.

If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$55
Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official August 26 announcement of the “Surprise and Shine” event on September 9 has anchored trader sentiment, with consistent reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain sources indicating the company will unveil its first book-style foldable iPhone—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra—alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. The device is described with a roughly 5.5-inch outer display opening to about 7.8 inches, titanium construction, near crease-free OLED, Touch ID in the power button, and pricing above $2,000. This marks the first major launch under incoming CEO John Ternus and represents Apple’s first new iPhone form factor in years. While manufacturing yields and final availability remain variables, the volume of aligned credible leaks and the event’s proximity support the current 74.5% implied probability for an announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.

Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.

If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$55
Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Apple kündigt faltbares iPhone beim "Surprise and Shine" -Event an?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Apple kündigt faltbares iPhone auf „Surprise and Shine“-Event an?" mit 74%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 74¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 74% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Apple kündigt faltbares iPhone beim "Surprise and Shine" -Event an?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 2, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Apple kündigt faltbares iPhone beim "Surprise and Shine" -Event an?" ist „Apple kündigt faltbares iPhone auf „Surprise and Shine“-Event an?" mit 74%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 74% zuweist. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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