Recent rebounds in SpaceX (SPCX) and Tesla (TSLA) shares, which together comprise over 98% of Musk’s wealth, are the dominant factor behind the 44.5% market-implied odds for a $1.10T+ net worth by September 30. SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility since June, now representing ~82% of holdings with a June 2027 lockup, amplifies sensitivity to any sustained rally, while Tesla’s gains stem from expanded robotaxi operations, FSD improvements, and AI infrastructure ties to Nvidia. Traders appear to price in continued momentum from autonomous vehicle and large language model advancements over the next month, though macro rate concerns and historical post-IPO swings introduce downside risks reflected in the secondary $700-800B bin at 27.5%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert1,10 Billionen US-Dollar+ 45%
900 Mrd. $–1,00 Bio. $ 29%
700–800 Mrd. $ 26%
800–900 Mrd. $ 21%
NEU
NEU
30. Sep. 2026
<600 Mrd. $
18%
600–700 Mrd. $
19%
700–800 Mrd. $
26%
800–900 Mrd. $
21%
900 Mrd. $–1,00 Bio. $
29%
1,00–1,10 Bio. $
18%
1,10 Billionen US-Dollar+
45%
1,10 Billionen US-Dollar+ 45%
900 Mrd. $–1,00 Bio. $ 29%
700–800 Mrd. $ 26%
800–900 Mrd. $ 21%
NEU
NEU
30. Sep. 2026
<600 Mrd. $
$0 Vol.
18%
600–700 Mrd. $
$0 Vol.
19%
700–800 Mrd. $
$0 Vol.
26%
800–900 Mrd. $
$0 Vol.
21%
900 Mrd. $–1,00 Bio. $
$0 Vol.
29%
1,00–1,10 Bio. $
$0 Vol.
18%
1,10 Billionen US-Dollar+
$144 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Recent rebounds in SpaceX (SPCX) and Tesla (TSLA) shares, which together comprise over 98% of Musk’s wealth, are the dominant factor behind the 44.5% market-implied odds for a $1.10T+ net worth by September 30. SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility since June, now representing ~82% of holdings with a June 2027 lockup, amplifies sensitivity to any sustained rally, while Tesla’s gains stem from expanded robotaxi operations, FSD improvements, and AI infrastructure ties to Nvidia. Traders appear to price in continued momentum from autonomous vehicle and large language model advancements over the next month, though macro rate concerns and historical post-IPO swings introduce downside risks reflected in the secondary $700-800B bin at 27.5%.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volumen
$144Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 6:07 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Recent rebounds in SpaceX (SPCX) and Tesla (TSLA) shares, which together comprise over 98% of Musk’s wealth, are the dominant factor behind the 44.5% market-implied odds for a $1.10T+ net worth by September 30. SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility since June, now representing ~82% of holdings with a June 2027 lockup, amplifies sensitivity to any sustained rally, while Tesla’s gains stem from expanded robotaxi operations, FSD improvements, and AI infrastructure ties to Nvidia. Traders appear to price in continued momentum from autonomous vehicle and large language model advancements over the next month, though macro rate concerns and historical post-IPO swings introduce downside risks reflected in the secondary $700-800B bin at 27.5%.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volumen
$144Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 6:07 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rebounds in SpaceX (SPCX) and Tesla (TSLA) shares, which together comprise over 98% of Musk’s wealth, are the dominant factor behind the 44.5% market-implied odds for a $1.10T+ net worth by September 30. SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility since June, now representing ~82% of holdings with a June 2027 lockup, amplifies sensitivity to any sustained rally, while Tesla’s gains stem from expanded robotaxi operations, FSD improvements, and AI infrastructure ties to Nvidia. Traders appear to price in continued momentum from autonomous vehicle and large language model advancements over the next month, though macro rate concerns and historical post-IPO swings introduce downside risks reflected in the secondary $700-800B bin at 27.5%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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