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Politik·Kultur

Elon Musk # tweets 10. April - 17. April 2026?

Market icon
Politik·Kultur

Elon Musk # tweets 10. April - 17. April 2026?

Apr. 17

Apr. 21

Apr. 24

Apr. 17

Apr. 21

Apr. 24

TWEET COUNT
172
Verbleibende Zeit
TWEETS
172
Verbleibende Zeit

300–319 51%

280–299 25.1%

320-339 17.4%

340-359 4.5%

Polymarket

$10,402,415 Vol.

300–319 51%

280–299 25.1%

320-339 17.4%

340-359 4.5%

Polymarket

$10,402,415 Vol.

260-279

$711,418 Vol.

2%

280–299

$462,069 Vol.

25%

300–319

$356,065 Vol.

51%

320-339

$463,091 Vol.

17%

340-359

$403,356 Vol.

5%

360-379

$422,768 Vol.

2%

380-399

$381,290 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$494,840 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$430,731 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$483,698 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$342,850 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$329,750 Vol.

<1%

500–519

$264,248 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$266,477 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$270,374 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$188,742 Vol.

<1%

580+

$354,007 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times from April 10-17, with 50.5% implied probability, anchored by xTracker data logging 267 qualifying posts (main feed, quotes, reposts only—no replies) through April 15 at a 45-per-day pace. This surge stems from viral clashes over South Africa's B-BBEE laws blocking Starlink licenses, branded by Musk as "Apartheid 2.0," alongside commentary on U.S. immigration, crime stats, and Tesla FSD breakthroughs amid Model S/X phaseout buzz. With two days left through April 17, sustained cultural firestorms could push toward 320+, but traders price in potential weekend lull for the 280-299 cluster at 25.1%. Markets reflect real-money bets on his unpredictable posting rhythm.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$10,402,415
Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times from April 10-17, with 50.5% implied probability, anchored by xTracker data logging 267 qualifying posts (main feed, quotes, reposts only—no replies) through April 15 at a 45-per-day pace. This surge stems from viral clashes over South Africa's B-BBEE laws blocking Starlink licenses, branded by Musk as "Apartheid 2.0," alongside commentary on U.S. immigration, crime stats, and Tesla FSD breakthroughs amid Model S/X phaseout buzz. With two days left through April 17, sustained cultural firestorms could push toward 320+, but traders price in potential weekend lull for the 280-299 cluster at 25.1%. Markets reflect real-money bets on his unpredictable posting rhythm.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$10,402,415
Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Elon Musk # tweets 10. April - 17. April 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 30 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „300–319" mit 51%, gefolgt von „280–299" mit 25%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 51¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 51% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Elon Musk # tweets 10. April - 17. April 2026?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $10.4 million generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 7, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Elon Musk # tweets 10. April - 17. April 2026?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 30 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Elon Musk # tweets 10. April - 17. April 2026?" ist „300–319" mit 51%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 51% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „280–299" mit 25%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Elon Musk # tweets 10. April - 17. April 2026?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.