Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 14-21 implies a tight race in the mid-200s, with 240-259 posts leading at 26.5% amid recent weeks averaging 30-35 daily X posts—prior period March 27-April 3 resolved at 260-279, while the ongoing April 7-14 tally hit 141 midway, pacing similarly. Competitive dynamics stem from Elon's volatile posting tied to viral moments like today's Falcon landing and Artemis II splashdown commentary, which spiked engagement but introduce uncertainty without confirmed spikes ahead; lulls during business focus could dip toward 220s, while political or SpaceX updates might push 260+. High variance keeps bins within 10 points closely matched, rewarding traders tracking real-time X activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert240-259 27%
260–279 21%
220-239 18%
280–299 15%
$565,662 Vol.
$565,662 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120–139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
18%
240-259
27%
260–279
21%
280–299
15%
300–319
6%
320–339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420–439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480–499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 27%
260–279 21%
220-239 18%
280–299 15%
$565,662 Vol.
$565,662 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120–139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
18%
240-259
27%
260–279
21%
280–299
15%
300–319
6%
320–339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420–439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480–499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 14-21 implies a tight race in the mid-200s, with 240-259 posts leading at 26.5% amid recent weeks averaging 30-35 daily X posts—prior period March 27-April 3 resolved at 260-279, while the ongoing April 7-14 tally hit 141 midway, pacing similarly. Competitive dynamics stem from Elon's volatile posting tied to viral moments like today's Falcon landing and Artemis II splashdown commentary, which spiked engagement but introduce uncertainty without confirmed spikes ahead; lulls during business focus could dip toward 220s, while political or SpaceX updates might push 260+. High variance keeps bins within 10 points closely matched, rewarding traders tracking real-time X activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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