President Trump has escalated public rhetoric on Truth Social amid Iran tensions, launching personal attacks yesterday against conservative critics including Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones—calling them "losers," "nut jobs," and "troublemakers" for opposing his policy. This follows April 7 barbs at Fox News hosts and an Easter post with profanity directed at Iran. Traders weigh his consistent pattern of responding to detractors via daily posts against quieter days, with ongoing Middle East developments and potential press events likely to influence outcomes. Historical base rates show frequent insults during controversies, keeping daily probabilities competitive.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
11. Apr. 2026
April 11
57%
April 12
57%
April 13
64%
April 14
55%
April 15
59%
April 16
58%
April 17
59%
April 18
62%
April 19
62%
April 20
62%
April 21
62%
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62%
April 23
62%
April 24
62%
April 25
62%
April 26
62%
April 27
62%
April 28
62%
April 29
64%
April 30
64%
$245 Vol.
April 11
$97 Vol.
57%
April 12
$23 Vol.
57%
April 13
$4 Vol.
64%
April 14
$46 Vol.
55%
April 15
$20 Vol.
59%
April 16
$34 Vol.
58%
April 17
$21 Vol.
59%
April 18
$0 Vol.
62%
April 19
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62%
April 20
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62%
April 21
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62%
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$0 Vol.
62%
April 27
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62%
April 28
$0 Vol.
62%
April 29
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64%
April 30
$0 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has escalated public rhetoric on Truth Social amid Iran tensions, launching personal attacks yesterday against conservative critics including Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones—calling them "losers," "nut jobs," and "troublemakers" for opposing his policy. This follows April 7 barbs at Fox News hosts and an Easter post with profanity directed at Iran. Traders weigh his consistent pattern of responding to detractors via daily posts against quieter days, with ongoing Middle East developments and potential press events likely to influence outcomes. Historical base rates show frequent insults during controversies, keeping daily probabilities competitive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volumen
$245Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has escalated public rhetoric on Truth Social amid Iran tensions, launching personal attacks yesterday against conservative critics including Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones—calling them "losers," "nut jobs," and "troublemakers" for opposing his policy. This follows April 7 barbs at Fox News hosts and an Easter post with profanity directed at Iran. Traders weigh his consistent pattern of responding to detractors via daily posts against quieter days, with ongoing Middle East developments and potential press events likely to influence outcomes. Historical base rates show frequent insults during controversies, keeping daily probabilities competitive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$245Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has escalated public rhetoric on Truth Social amid Iran tensions, launching personal attacks yesterday against conservative critics including Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones—calling them "losers," "nut jobs," and "troublemakers" for opposing his policy. This follows April 7 barbs at Fox News hosts and an Easter post with profanity directed at Iran. Traders weigh his consistent pattern of responding to detractors via daily posts against quieter days, with ongoing Middle East developments and potential press events likely to influence outcomes. Historical base rates show frequent insults during controversies, keeping daily probabilities competitive.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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