Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent rhythm of about 33 posts per day tracked in the overlapping April 9-11 market, where he tallied 66 total amid SpaceX updates and political jabs. The 40-64 range at 29.5% captures potential moderation seen in late March's 29/day average, while lower tiers reflect historical dips during focused company work. Today's Falcon 9 landing video and Artemis II crew splashdown reposts signal steady engagement, but no major catalysts like earnings or launches loom through April 13 to spike volume significantly—traders eye his unpredictable blend of tech triumphs and cultural commentary for any late surges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert65-89 49%
40-64 31%
90-114 16%
115-139 2.6%
NEU
$208,853 Vol.
NEU
$208,853 Vol.
13. Apr. 2026
<40
2%
40-64
31%
65-89
49%
90-114
16%
115-139
3%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190–214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 49%
40-64 31%
90-114 16%
115-139 2.6%
NEU
$208,853 Vol.
NEU
$208,853 Vol.
13. Apr. 2026
<40
$21,244 Vol.
2%
40-64
$9,863 Vol.
31%
65-89
$12,194 Vol.
49%
90-114
$6,982 Vol.
16%
115-139
$14,600 Vol.
3%
140-164
$19,589 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$36,132 Vol.
<1%
190–214
$15,110 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$27,603 Vol.
<1%
240+
$46,894 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent rhythm of about 33 posts per day tracked in the overlapping April 9-11 market, where he tallied 66 total amid SpaceX updates and political jabs. The 40-64 range at 29.5% captures potential moderation seen in late March's 29/day average, while lower tiers reflect historical dips during focused company work. Today's Falcon 9 landing video and Artemis II crew splashdown reposts signal steady engagement, but no major catalysts like earnings or launches loom through April 13 to spike volume significantly—traders eye his unpredictable blend of tech triumphs and cultural commentary for any late surges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Volumen
$208,853Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent rhythm of about 33 posts per day tracked in the overlapping April 9-11 market, where he tallied 66 total amid SpaceX updates and political jabs. The 40-64 range at 29.5% captures potential moderation seen in late March's 29/day average, while lower tiers reflect historical dips during focused company work. Today's Falcon 9 landing video and Artemis II crew splashdown reposts signal steady engagement, but no major catalysts like earnings or launches loom through April 13 to spike volume significantly—traders eye his unpredictable blend of tech triumphs and cultural commentary for any late surges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$208,853Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent rhythm of about 33 posts per day tracked in the overlapping April 9-11 market, where he tallied 66 total amid SpaceX updates and political jabs. The 40-64 range at 29.5% captures potential moderation seen in late March's 29/day average, while lower tiers reflect historical dips during focused company work. Today's Falcon 9 landing video and Artemis II crew splashdown reposts signal steady engagement, but no major catalysts like earnings or launches loom through April 13 to spike volume significantly—traders eye his unpredictable blend of tech triumphs and cultural commentary for any late surges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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