Multiple viable contenders create a fragmented field for second place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, where voters will select two senators in October 2026. Recent Quaest surveys show ex-governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading with 24-32%, while Fabiano Contarato (PT), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Marcos do Val (Avante), and others trail in single digits or low double digits amid high undecided shares. Eleven candidates overall, including re-election bids by the two incumbents, keep preferences dispersed without a dominant runner-up. Early-campaign dynamics, limited name recognition among challengers, and potential coalition shifts ahead of the October 4 first round sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRenato Casagrande 44%
Rodney Miranda 44%
Sergio Meneguelli 44%
Professor Fabian 44%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Renato Casagrande
44%
Rodney Miranda
44%
Sergio Meneguelli
44%
Professor Fabian
44%
Rose de Freitas
44%
Callegari
42%
Leonardo Monjardim
42%
Maguinha Malta
42%
Evair de Melo
41%
Fabiano Contarato
41%
Marcos do Val
41%
Renato Casagrande 44%
Rodney Miranda 44%
Sergio Meneguelli 44%
Professor Fabian 44%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Renato Casagrande
$0 Vol.
44%
Rodney Miranda
$0 Vol.
44%
Sergio Meneguelli
$0 Vol.
44%
Professor Fabian
$0 Vol.
44%
Rose de Freitas
$0 Vol.
44%
Callegari
$0 Vol.
42%
Leonardo Monjardim
$0 Vol.
42%
Maguinha Malta
$0 Vol.
42%
Evair de Melo
$0 Vol.
41%
Fabiano Contarato
$0 Vol.
41%
Marcos do Val
$0 Vol.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple viable contenders create a fragmented field for second place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, where voters will select two senators in October 2026. Recent Quaest surveys show ex-governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading with 24-32%, while Fabiano Contarato (PT), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Marcos do Val (Avante), and others trail in single digits or low double digits amid high undecided shares. Eleven candidates overall, including re-election bids by the two incumbents, keep preferences dispersed without a dominant runner-up. Early-campaign dynamics, limited name recognition among challengers, and potential coalition shifts ahead of the October 4 first round sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple viable contenders create a fragmented field for second place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, where voters will select two senators in October 2026. Recent Quaest surveys show ex-governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading with 24-32%, while Fabiano Contarato (PT), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Marcos do Val (Avante), and others trail in single digits or low double digits amid high undecided shares. Eleven candidates overall, including re-election bids by the two incumbents, keep preferences dispersed without a dominant runner-up. Early-campaign dynamics, limited name recognition among challengers, and potential coalition shifts ahead of the October 4 first round sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple viable contenders create a fragmented field for second place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, where voters will select two senators in October 2026. Recent Quaest surveys show ex-governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading with 24-32%, while Fabiano Contarato (PT), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Marcos do Val (Avante), and others trail in single digits or low double digits amid high undecided shares. Eleven candidates overall, including re-election bids by the two incumbents, keep preferences dispersed without a dominant runner-up. Early-campaign dynamics, limited name recognition among challengers, and potential coalition shifts ahead of the October 4 first round sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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