Georgia’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+27 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee James Duffie in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited path-to-victory for Republicans absent major shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or late-cycle developments. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or national wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGA-04 Wahlsieger
GA-04 Wahlsieger
$36,771 Vol.
$36,771 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
3%
$36,771 Vol.
$36,771 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$21,456 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$15,315 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+27 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee James Duffie in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited path-to-victory for Republicans absent major shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or late-cycle developments. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or national wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$36,771Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+27 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee James Duffie in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited path-to-victory for Republicans absent major shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or late-cycle developments. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or national wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$36,771Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+27 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee James Duffie in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited path-to-victory for Republicans absent major shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or late-cycle developments. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or national wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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