Skip to main content
icon for Haiti elections delayed again?

Haiti elections delayed again?

icon for Haiti elections delayed again?

Haiti elections delayed again?

34% Chance
Polymarket

$12,426 Vol.

34% Chance
Polymarket

$12,426 Vol.

After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Ongoing gang violence, chronic funding shortfalls, and institutional friction between Haiti’s Provisional Electoral Council and Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé’s transitional government have repeatedly postponed elections since 2019. The council’s revised calendar, approved in December 2025, targets a first round on August 30, 2026, with a December runoff, supported by recent party registrations and a new electoral decree. April 2026 postponement of voter registration without announced replacement dates underscores persistent logistical risks, yet authorities continue preparations aimed at installing elected officials by February 2027. Traders’ 60.5 percent “No” consensus reflects the current timeline holding despite these hurdles, with any major security deterioration or budget impasse remaining the clearest triggers for further slippage.

After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$12,426
Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Ongoing gang violence, chronic funding shortfalls, and institutional friction between Haiti’s Provisional Electoral Council and Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé’s transitional government have repeatedly postponed elections since 2019. The council’s revised calendar, approved in December 2025, targets a first round on August 30, 2026, with a December runoff, supported by recent party registrations and a new electoral decree. April 2026 postponement of voter registration without announced replacement dates underscores persistent logistical risks, yet authorities continue preparations aimed at installing elected officials by February 2027. Traders’ 60.5 percent “No” consensus reflects the current timeline holding despite these hurdles, with any major security deterioration or budget impasse remaining the clearest triggers for further slippage.

After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$12,467
Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Haiti elections delayed again?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 34% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 34¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 34%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Haiti elections delayed again?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $12.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 27, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Haiti elections delayed again?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Haiti elections delayed again?" liegt bei 34% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 34% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Haiti elections delayed again?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.