Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, project Ankara's highest temperature on April 17 at 20-22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, fueling the near-tie among 21°C (23%), 22°C (24.5%), and 25°C or higher (22.5%) at trader-implied odds. This clustering reflects model spread from diurnal heating potential amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge after early April's cool, rainy spell (highs near 9-15°C), where optimistic runs assume clearer afternoons for peaks nearing 25°C while conservative ones factor persistent clouds capping at 21°C. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation and shear-line moisture; new 12Z model runs and surface observations today could sharpen consensus before resolution via official Ankara station data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
21°C 26%
20°C 24%
22°C 17%
19°C 16%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
10%
19°C
14%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
17%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
2%
21°C 26%
20°C 24%
22°C 17%
19°C 16%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
10%
19°C
14%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
17%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, project Ankara's highest temperature on April 17 at 20-22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, fueling the near-tie among 21°C (23%), 22°C (24.5%), and 25°C or higher (22.5%) at trader-implied odds. This clustering reflects model spread from diurnal heating potential amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge after early April's cool, rainy spell (highs near 9-15°C), where optimistic runs assume clearer afternoons for peaks nearing 25°C while conservative ones factor persistent clouds capping at 21°C. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation and shear-line moisture; new 12Z model runs and surface observations today could sharpen consensus before resolution via official Ankara station data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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