Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts indicating a cooling trend for Austin on April 6, with highs likely in the low to mid-70s°F following upper-80s earlier in the week, driven by an approaching frontal boundary and associated storms late on April 5. Recent model runs from NOAA show consensus around 70-75°F, but slight divergences in cold air advection strength and cloud cover timing create the tight spread among top outcomes—70-71°F leads at 23% implied probability, edging 72-73°F and 68-69°F due to potential lingering showers suppressing peaks. Historical April averages near 79°F provide context, though spring variability and post-warm March recovery amplify uncertainty; watch NWS updates and evening model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Austin on April 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 6?
70-71°F 23%
72-73°F 18%
74-75°F 18%
68-69°F 18%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
10%
80°F or higher
3%
70-71°F 23%
72-73°F 18%
74-75°F 18%
68-69°F 18%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
10%
80°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts indicating a cooling trend for Austin on April 6, with highs likely in the low to mid-70s°F following upper-80s earlier in the week, driven by an approaching frontal boundary and associated storms late on April 5. Recent model runs from NOAA show consensus around 70-75°F, but slight divergences in cold air advection strength and cloud cover timing create the tight spread among top outcomes—70-71°F leads at 23% implied probability, edging 72-73°F and 68-69°F due to potential lingering showers suppressing peaks. Historical April averages near 79°F provide context, though spring variability and post-warm March recovery amplify uncertainty; watch NWS updates and evening model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen