Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on June 27 most likely between 29–31°C, reflecting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these levels. Subtropical high pressure combined with regional monsoon moisture and Sichuan Basin topography will influence daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and any scattered showers could cap peaks or allow brief clearing to push values slightly higher. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with differences hinging on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing; updated runs over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria for traders. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context for the current consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 27?
28°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$80,612 Vol.
$80,612 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$80,612 Vol.
$80,612 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on June 27 most likely between 29–31°C, reflecting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these levels. Subtropical high pressure combined with regional monsoon moisture and Sichuan Basin topography will influence daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and any scattered showers could cap peaks or allow brief clearing to push values slightly higher. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with differences hinging on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing; updated runs over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria for traders. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context for the current consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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