Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 7. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 7. Juli?
33°C 100.0%
29°C oder darunter <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$61,675 Vol.
$61,675 Vol.
7. Juli 2026
29°C oder darunter
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Ja
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C
Nein
39°C oder höher
Nein
33°C 100.0%
29°C oder darunter <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$61,675 Vol.
$61,675 Vol.
7. Juli 2026
29°C oder darunter
$3,374 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$3,427 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$3,689 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$7,402 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$11,838 Vol.
Ja
34°C
$10,844 Vol.
Nein
35°C
$6,116 Vol.
Nein
36°C
$5,143 Vol.
Nein
37°C
$4,248 Vol.
Nein
38°C
$2,995 Vol.
Nein
39°C oder höher
$2,599 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$61,675Enddatum
7. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$61,675Enddatum
7. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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