Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago point to a daytime high in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 22, placing the 80–81 °F bin as the clear market leader. A cooler-than-normal air mass, modest lake breeze influence from Lake Michigan, and partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit peak heating below the 82 °F climatological normal. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk above 83 °F or downside below 78 °F given stable steering flow and only modest moisture. Updated short-range model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 78–81 °F window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 22. August?
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 6%
69°F oder weniger
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
2%
88°F oder höher
1%
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 6%
69°F oder weniger
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
2%
88°F oder höher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago point to a daytime high in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 22, placing the 80–81 °F bin as the clear market leader. A cooler-than-normal air mass, modest lake breeze influence from Lake Michigan, and partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit peak heating below the 82 °F climatological normal. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk above 83 °F or downside below 78 °F given stable steering flow and only modest moisture. Updated short-range model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 78–81 °F window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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