Current forecasts from NOAA and other models indicate Chicago's July 12 high will likely fall near the climatological normal of 84.8°F, with trader sentiment split between the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins due to modest uncertainty in afternoon conditions. Key differentiating factors include the strength of any lake breeze moderating temperatures along the shoreline, potential for scattered convection or increased cloud cover reducing peak heating, and subtle shifts in the position of a weak frontal boundary. Historical analogs show mid-July highs in this range occur frequently, but small errors in model timing or moisture can swing the observed maximum across bin thresholds. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 12. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 12. Juli?
84-85°F 49%
86-87°F 47%
88-89°F 4.0%
82-83°F 2.6%
$10,841 Vol.
$10,841 Vol.
12. Juli 2026
79°F oder niedriger
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
47%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F oder höher
<1%
84-85°F 49%
86-87°F 47%
88-89°F 4.0%
82-83°F 2.6%
$10,841 Vol.
$10,841 Vol.
12. Juli 2026
79°F oder niedriger
$455 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,275 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$1,911 Vol.
49%
86-87°F
$1,244 Vol.
47%
88-89°F
$2,158 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$954 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$733 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$311 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$331 Vol.
<1%
98°F oder höher
$345 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and other models indicate Chicago's July 12 high will likely fall near the climatological normal of 84.8°F, with trader sentiment split between the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins due to modest uncertainty in afternoon conditions. Key differentiating factors include the strength of any lake breeze moderating temperatures along the shoreline, potential for scattered convection or increased cloud cover reducing peak heating, and subtle shifts in the position of a weak frontal boundary. Historical analogs show mid-July highs in this range occur frequently, but small errors in model timing or moisture can swing the observed maximum across bin thresholds. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$10,841Enddatum
12. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and other models indicate Chicago's July 12 high will likely fall near the climatological normal of 84.8°F, with trader sentiment split between the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins due to modest uncertainty in afternoon conditions. Key differentiating factors include the strength of any lake breeze moderating temperatures along the shoreline, potential for scattered convection or increased cloud cover reducing peak heating, and subtle shifts in the position of a weak frontal boundary. Historical analogs show mid-July highs in this range occur frequently, but small errors in model timing or moisture can swing the observed maximum across bin thresholds. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,841Enddatum
12. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NOAA and other models indicate Chicago's July 12 high will likely fall near the climatological normal of 84.8°F, with trader sentiment split between the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins due to modest uncertainty in afternoon conditions. Key differentiating factors include the strength of any lake breeze moderating temperatures along the shoreline, potential for scattered convection or increased cloud cover reducing peak heating, and subtle shifts in the position of a weak frontal boundary. Historical analogs show mid-July highs in this range occur frequently, but small errors in model timing or moisture can swing the observed maximum across bin thresholds. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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