National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high near 67°F at O'Hare International Airport today, driven by southwest winds at 10-20 mph gusting higher, advecting warmer air after morning showers dissipate into gradual clearing skies. Current observations confirm this trajectory, with temperatures already reaching 53°F under overcast conditions this afternoon, per NOAA's automated surface observing system—solidifying the market-implied near-certainty of 52°F or higher. Model consensus across GFS and European runs aligns on mid-60s peaks, matching the May 3 climatological normal of 66°F. Realistic challenges are minimal post-noon, requiring an improbable cold frontal surge or prolonged cloud deck to suppress readings below 52°F; hourly updates through sunset at 7:53 PM CDT will finalize the official high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chicago on May 3?
52°F or higher 100.0%
33°F or below <1%
34-35°F <1%
36-37°F <1%
$47,571 Vol.
$47,571 Vol.
33°F or below
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52°F or higher
Yes
52°F or higher 100.0%
33°F or below <1%
34-35°F <1%
36-37°F <1%
$47,571 Vol.
$47,571 Vol.
33°F or below
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 1, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high near 67°F at O'Hare International Airport today, driven by southwest winds at 10-20 mph gusting higher, advecting warmer air after morning showers dissipate into gradual clearing skies. Current observations confirm this trajectory, with temperatures already reaching 53°F under overcast conditions this afternoon, per NOAA's automated surface observing system—solidifying the market-implied near-certainty of 52°F or higher. Model consensus across GFS and European runs aligns on mid-60s peaks, matching the May 3 climatological normal of 66°F. Realistic challenges are minimal post-noon, requiring an improbable cold frontal surge or prolonged cloud deck to suppress readings below 52°F; hourly updates through sunset at 7:53 PM CDT will finalize the official high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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