Hong Kong Observatory's verified observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 28°C on May 11, 2026, at the Observatory headquarters, measured per World Meteorological Organization standards at 1.5 meters above ground in a shaded, ventilated shelter—driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically sees maximums of 28–29°C under subtropical ridge influence, with urban heat island amplification and soil moisture from prior rainy days capping extremes amid normal to above-normal seasonal forecasts. Model ensembles and regional station data corroborated this peak during brief clearer intervals. Realistic challenges would demand a rare data correction from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked remote station outlier exceeding headquarters readings, improbable given comprehensive end-of-day validation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$265,117 Vol.
$265,117 Vol.
11. Mai 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$265,117 Vol.
$265,117 Vol.
11. Mai 2026
20°C or below
$2,600 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,326 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,715 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,293 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,983 Vol.
No
25°C
$32,935 Vol.
No
26°C
$27,231 Vol.
No
27°C
$52,402 Vol.
No
28°C
$58,908 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$45,524 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$31,200 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's verified observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 28°C on May 11, 2026, at the Observatory headquarters, measured per World Meteorological Organization standards at 1.5 meters above ground in a shaded, ventilated shelter—driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically sees maximums of 28–29°C under subtropical ridge influence, with urban heat island amplification and soil moisture from prior rainy days capping extremes amid normal to above-normal seasonal forecasts. Model ensembles and regional station data corroborated this peak during brief clearer intervals. Realistic challenges would demand a rare data correction from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked remote station outlier exceeding headquarters readings, improbable given comprehensive end-of-day validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 9, 2026, 3:10 AM ET
Volumen
$265,117Enddatum
11. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 9, 2026, 3:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's verified observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 28°C on May 11, 2026, at the Observatory headquarters, measured per World Meteorological Organization standards at 1.5 meters above ground in a shaded, ventilated shelter—driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically sees maximums of 28–29°C under subtropical ridge influence, with urban heat island amplification and soil moisture from prior rainy days capping extremes amid normal to above-normal seasonal forecasts. Model ensembles and regional station data corroborated this peak during brief clearer intervals. Realistic challenges would demand a rare data correction from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked remote station outlier exceeding headquarters readings, improbable given comprehensive end-of-day validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$265,117Enddatum
11. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 9, 2026, 3:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Hong Kong Observatory's verified observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 28°C on May 11, 2026, at the Observatory headquarters, measured per World Meteorological Organization standards at 1.5 meters above ground in a shaded, ventilated shelter—driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically sees maximums of 28–29°C under subtropical ridge influence, with urban heat island amplification and soil moisture from prior rainy days capping extremes amid normal to above-normal seasonal forecasts. Model ensembles and regional station data corroborated this peak during brief clearer intervals. Realistic challenges would demand a rare data correction from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked remote station outlier exceeding headquarters readings, improbable given comprehensive end-of-day validation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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