Official observations from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) stations in Jakarta, including key sites like Halim Perdanakusuma and Kemayoran, recorded a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 2, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms, where daily highs average 32–34°C amid the transitioning dry season, strengthened by easterly monsoon flows and limited cloud cover despite scattered thunderstorms that capped further intensification. Trader consensus reflects verified hourly data releases, embodying skin-in-the-game assessment of measurement standards. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc revisions from auxiliary stations or urban heat island adjustments exceeding 33°C, though BMKG's standardized protocols make this improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 2?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$127,165 Vol.
$127,165 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$127,165 Vol.
$127,165 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 30, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official observations from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) stations in Jakarta, including key sites like Halim Perdanakusuma and Kemayoran, recorded a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 2, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms, where daily highs average 32–34°C amid the transitioning dry season, strengthened by easterly monsoon flows and limited cloud cover despite scattered thunderstorms that capped further intensification. Trader consensus reflects verified hourly data releases, embodying skin-in-the-game assessment of measurement standards. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc revisions from auxiliary stations or urban heat island adjustments exceeding 33°C, though BMKG's standardized protocols make this improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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