**Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and surface stations at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome.** This reading aligns with early May climatology in Lagos, where average highs hover around 32°C amid the rainy season onset, featuring high humidity (typically 80%+), sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea, and partial cloud cover that caps daytime peaks despite warm equatorial conditions. Global models like ECMWF had forecasted 31–33°C ranges pre-event, matching the verified data. Realistic challenges would require a rare NiMet data revision from sensor calibration issues or discrepancies across monitoring sites, though rigorous quality assurance protocols render this highly improbable as final reports solidify.**
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lagos on May 10?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 10?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$41,928 Vol.
$41,928 Vol.
10. Mai 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$41,928 Vol.
$41,928 Vol.
10. Mai 2026
27°C or below
$2,954 Vol.
No
28°C
$11,512 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,786 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,647 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,625 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,993 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,582 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$4,164 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,657 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,003 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$3,001 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and surface stations at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome.** This reading aligns with early May climatology in Lagos, where average highs hover around 32°C amid the rainy season onset, featuring high humidity (typically 80%+), sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea, and partial cloud cover that caps daytime peaks despite warm equatorial conditions. Global models like ECMWF had forecasted 31–33°C ranges pre-event, matching the verified data. Realistic challenges would require a rare NiMet data revision from sensor calibration issues or discrepancies across monitoring sites, though rigorous quality assurance protocols render this highly improbable as final reports solidify.**
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 8, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volumen
$41,928Enddatum
10. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 8, 2026, 12:36 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and surface stations at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome.** This reading aligns with early May climatology in Lagos, where average highs hover around 32°C amid the rainy season onset, featuring high humidity (typically 80%+), sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea, and partial cloud cover that caps daytime peaks despite warm equatorial conditions. Global models like ECMWF had forecasted 31–33°C ranges pre-event, matching the verified data. Realistic challenges would require a rare NiMet data revision from sensor calibration issues or discrepancies across monitoring sites, though rigorous quality assurance protocols render this highly improbable as final reports solidify.**
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$41,928Enddatum
10. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 8, 2026, 12:36 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
**Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and surface stations at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome.** This reading aligns with early May climatology in Lagos, where average highs hover around 32°C amid the rainy season onset, featuring high humidity (typically 80%+), sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea, and partial cloud cover that caps daytime peaks despite warm equatorial conditions. Global models like ECMWF had forecasted 31–33°C ranges pre-event, matching the verified data. Realistic challenges would require a rare NiMet data revision from sensor calibration issues or discrepancies across monitoring sites, though rigorous quality assurance protocols render this highly improbable as final reports solidify.**
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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