India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from the Lucknow-Amausi Airport station—the official recording site—confirm a peak temperature of 40.3°C reached around 15:30 IST on April 27, 2026, with a slight +0.8°C departure from seasonal norms, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 42°C or below. Clear skies and light winds supported daytime heating typical of late April's pre-monsoon climatology, where daily maxima average 39–41°C, but post-peak cooling has commenced with sunset near 18:35 IST and evening readings dropping to 37–38°C. This observational data overrides earlier forecasts near 42°C, reflecting model consensus on moderate heatwave conditions. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-afternoon surge from intensified solar insolation, though improbable given historical peak timing (14:00–16:00 IST) and current downward trend; final IMD bulletin expected shortly will confirm resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 27?
42°C or below 100.0%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
45°C <1%
$41,893 Vol.
$41,893 Vol.
42°C or below
Yes
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C
No
52°C or higher
No
42°C or below 100.0%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
45°C <1%
$41,893 Vol.
$41,893 Vol.
42°C or below
Yes
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C
No
52°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 25, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from the Lucknow-Amausi Airport station—the official recording site—confirm a peak temperature of 40.3°C reached around 15:30 IST on April 27, 2026, with a slight +0.8°C departure from seasonal norms, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 42°C or below. Clear skies and light winds supported daytime heating typical of late April's pre-monsoon climatology, where daily maxima average 39–41°C, but post-peak cooling has commenced with sunset near 18:35 IST and evening readings dropping to 37–38°C. This observational data overrides earlier forecasts near 42°C, reflecting model consensus on moderate heatwave conditions. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-afternoon surge from intensified solar insolation, though improbable given historical peak timing (14:00–16:00 IST) and current downward trend; final IMD bulletin expected shortly will confirm resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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