Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (45%) and 21°C (41.5%) for Madrid's highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport today, reflecting genuine uncertainty in AEMET and ECMWF model ensembles showing daytime surface highs clustered tightly around 21-22°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering above-climatological norms. AEMET's recent spring outlook confirms warmer-than-average conditions for April—versus historical highs of 18-19°C—driven by light northerly winds and ample insolation, though intermittent mid-level clouds introduce variability in peak afternoon heating. Ensemble spreads of ±1°C highlight model disagreements on boundary layer mixing; real-time hourly observations from official stations will sharpen resolution as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on April 3?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 3?
21°C 43%
22°C 43%
23°C 10%
20°C 8%
$26,402 Vol.
$26,402 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
43%
22°C
43%
23°C
10%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 43%
23°C 10%
20°C 8%
$26,402 Vol.
$26,402 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
43%
22°C
43%
23°C
10%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 4:11 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (45%) and 21°C (41.5%) for Madrid's highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport today, reflecting genuine uncertainty in AEMET and ECMWF model ensembles showing daytime surface highs clustered tightly around 21-22°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering above-climatological norms. AEMET's recent spring outlook confirms warmer-than-average conditions for April—versus historical highs of 18-19°C—driven by light northerly winds and ample insolation, though intermittent mid-level clouds introduce variability in peak afternoon heating. Ensemble spreads of ±1°C highlight model disagreements on boundary layer mixing; real-time hourly observations from official stations will sharpen resolution as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen