PAGASA's latest extended outlook for Metro Manila projects a high of 33°C on June 29, 2026, with 25°C lows and 40-80% rain chances under southwest monsoon conditions, aligning closely with the market's leading 33°C (28%) and 34°C (24.5%) outcomes. Historical June averages near 32-33°C provide context, while short-term variability in convective clouds, scattered showers, and urban heat effects can shift peak readings by 1-2°C. Traders weigh model consensus on limited intensification against the possibility of clearer skies allowing brief spikes toward 34-35°C or enhanced rainfall capping temperatures at 32°C, with resolution hinging on the day's maximum observed at official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 29. Juni?
32°C 100.0%
28°C oder weniger <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$30,560 Vol.
$30,560 Vol.
28°C oder weniger
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Ja
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C oder höher
Nein
32°C 100.0%
28°C oder weniger <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$30,560 Vol.
$30,560 Vol.
28°C oder weniger
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Ja
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
PAGASA's latest extended outlook for Metro Manila projects a high of 33°C on June 29, 2026, with 25°C lows and 40-80% rain chances under southwest monsoon conditions, aligning closely with the market's leading 33°C (28%) and 34°C (24.5%) outcomes. Historical June averages near 32-33°C provide context, while short-term variability in convective clouds, scattered showers, and urban heat effects can shift peak readings by 1-2°C. Traders weigh model consensus on limited intensification against the possibility of clearer skies allowing brief spikes toward 34-35°C or enhanced rainfall capping temperatures at 32°C, with resolution hinging on the day's maximum observed at official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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