The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Manila on June 4?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 4?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,971 Vol.
$34,971 Vol.
4. Juni 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,971 Vol.
$34,971 Vol.
4. Juni 2026
26°C or below
$203 Vol.
No
27°C
$238 Vol.
No
28°C
$737 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,518 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,513 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,542 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,842 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$6,669 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,382 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,385 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,942 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$34,971Enddatum
4. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$34,971Enddatum
4. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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