Official observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport, the resolution source via Wunderground, confirm Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19 reached exactly 25°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts accurately predicted a 24–26°C range amid Frente Frío 45's influence, which brought chubascos (showers), northerly winds, and cloud cover that capped solar heating despite typical April highs averaging 25–27°C. This aligns with climatological norms for the high-elevation basin, where urban heat islands and diurnal patterns often peak mid-afternoon. Realistic challenges would require verified data revisions from SMN or airport logs uncovering measurement errors, though post-event validation renders this highly unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 19?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$54,476 Vol.
$54,476 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$54,476 Vol.
$54,476 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport, the resolution source via Wunderground, confirm Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19 reached exactly 25°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts accurately predicted a 24–26°C range amid Frente Frío 45's influence, which brought chubascos (showers), northerly winds, and cloud cover that capped solar heating despite typical April highs averaging 25–27°C. This aligns with climatological norms for the high-elevation basin, where urban heat islands and diurnal patterns often peak mid-afternoon. Realistic challenges would require verified data revisions from SMN or airport logs uncovering measurement errors, though post-event validation renders this highly unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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