**Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a high of 20°C or higher in Mexico City today, backed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting peaks of 28–30°C amid a persistent heatwave affecting central Mexico.** Recent SMN bulletins confirm ongoing dry, sunny conditions with high pressure dominating, consistent with April climatology where average highs reach 26°C at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution site—and historical April maxima rarely dip below 20°C due to the city's 2,240-meter elevation and dry-season stability. International models from AccuWeather and NOAA align, showing no cooling signals. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover or rare cold front intrusion, though low wind shear and clear skies make sub-20°C highs improbable; final airport observations will resolve by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 25?
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$66,042 Vol.
$66,042 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
Yes
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$66,042 Vol.
$66,042 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 23, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
**Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a high of 20°C or higher in Mexico City today, backed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting peaks of 28–30°C amid a persistent heatwave affecting central Mexico.** Recent SMN bulletins confirm ongoing dry, sunny conditions with high pressure dominating, consistent with April climatology where average highs reach 26°C at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution site—and historical April maxima rarely dip below 20°C due to the city's 2,240-meter elevation and dry-season stability. International models from AccuWeather and NOAA align, showing no cooling signals. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover or rare cold front intrusion, though low wind shear and clear skies make sub-20°C highs improbable; final airport observations will resolve by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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