Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Munich's highest temperature on April 8 clustering around 14-20°C, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes amid high day+4 uncertainty. A recent cold snap across Germany—driven by lingering polar vortex influences and northerly flows—has given way to a projected shift toward anticyclonic high pressure over central Europe, boosting odds for 16-20°C or higher through enhanced subsidence and southerly warm air advection. Differentiating factors include ridge strength over the Alps (favoring 19-20+°C under clear skies) versus persistent cloudiness or weaker highs (toward 14-16°C), against early April climatological averages of 13-15°C. New model runs expected daily from DWD and ECMWF could sharpen this spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on April 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 8?
20°C or higher 23%
16°C 17%
14°C 16%
15°C 14%
10°C or below
7%
11°C
5%
12°C
9%
13°C
8%
14°C
16%
15°C
14%
16°C
17%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
16%
20°C or higher
23%
20°C or higher 23%
16°C 17%
14°C 16%
15°C 14%
10°C or below
7%
11°C
5%
12°C
9%
13°C
8%
14°C
16%
15°C
14%
16°C
17%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
16%
20°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Munich's highest temperature on April 8 clustering around 14-20°C, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes amid high day+4 uncertainty. A recent cold snap across Germany—driven by lingering polar vortex influences and northerly flows—has given way to a projected shift toward anticyclonic high pressure over central Europe, boosting odds for 16-20°C or higher through enhanced subsidence and southerly warm air advection. Differentiating factors include ridge strength over the Alps (favoring 19-20+°C under clear skies) versus persistent cloudiness or weaker highs (toward 14-16°C), against early April climatological averages of 13-15°C. New model runs expected daily from DWD and ECMWF could sharpen this spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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